Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Brexit, deal or no deal?

The fact that even a long gloomy night breaks into dawn is nothing short of a miracle. Although, the word miracle might not sound apt here, but the Brexit conundrum that has been lingering for more than three years seems to have made some sort of a breakthrough. After months of confusion, the negotiating teams of the United Kingdom and the European Union have reached a consensus on what could transpire as a no-deal Brexit if this gets approved. Both the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Commission President Jean Claude-Juncker have announced their mutual agreement over the deal, where Juncker reportedly stated that it is a “fair and balanced agreement for the EU and the UK.
 
The deal after the announcement still must clear several hurdles, including getting approval from Europe’s leaders and most crucially passage in the British Parliament, where an agreement reached by Johnson’s predecessor May suffered three successive defeats in the Parliament. The Brexit deal comes just ahead of the two-day EU summit starting Thursday and holds the possibility of removing some of the uncertainties that have dogged the EU-UK relationship since 2016.
 
However, the latest onslaught came from the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) in Ireland who refused to support the deal as “things as stand.”Their concern is over the backstop arrangement, which if made redundant, would establish a hard border between the Northern Ireland (part of the UK) and the Republic of Ireland. Currently, there are no physical borders between the two parts. Johnson, a hard Eurosceptic in a sense, apparently junked the vexed backstop arrangement that had fluttered Brexiters all along. For Tories of that school, the purpose of Brexit is liberation from a regulatory yoke, imposed by the Brussels bureaucracy. Hatred of the backstop has its origin in the ambition to extricate the UK economy from the social protections preferred by many European countries. The theory is that a competitive edge is achieved by reducing the cost of doing business in Britain.
 
Mr. Johnson’s frantic rush to strike a Brexit bargain by October 31 has forced a focus on technicalities of withdrawal, but it also serves his agenda to distract his attention from the bigger picture. Largely, Johnson has portrayed himself as the man who would get Brexit done, a phrase he had often used as a weapon to stir the hysteria of Brexit and play down Theresa May’s deal.
 
But, it is important to remember that Brexit is not a game or a play to advance one man’s ambitions. Though Brexit was conceived and supported by the people who want the EU to fail, a government that seeks to uphold the notions of multilateralism will want the EU to survive. An outcome of the deal will shape the strategic direction of the country for generations and affect millions of livelihoods. What matters is for Johnson and his government to not play poker with the deal and strive towards an outcome that would co-opt both the UK and the EU in a favourable manner.



source https://indiaoutbound.org/brexit-deal-or-no-deal/

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